EP 982 | Part 2 of 5: War and Commodity Prices (Carley Garner)


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Episode Description

In Part 2 of this 5-part series on The Daily Coffee Pro Podcast by Map It Forward, Carley Garner from Decarley Trading expands the conversation beyond coffee to examine how geopolitical conflict is reshaping the broader commodities landscape, and what that means for coffee prices.

When war enters the equation, the impact is rarely isolated. Energy markets react first. Oil and natural gas prices shift. Shipping routes become unstable. Insurance costs rise. And those changes cascade into agriculture, manufacturing, and consumer behavior.

Carley explains why rising energy costs don’t just increase production expenses; they also influence demand. As fuel and food prices rise, consumers begin to make different choices, and those choices ripple back through the supply chain.

This episode challenges the assumption that higher costs always lead to higher prices. In some cases, the opposite happens: demand weakens, credit tightens, and prices struggle under the weight of economic pressure.

For coffee professionals, this is a critical lens: understanding that the biggest risks may not be at origin, but in the systems that connect production to consumption.

Connect with Carley Garner and DeCarley Trading:

https://www.decarleytrading.com

https://www.linkedin.com/in/carleygarner/

https://www.instagram.com/decarleytrading/